The WNBA is heating up, and one game stands out this week — Washington Mystics vs Seattle Storm. Two proud teams. Two different realities this season. But what happens when they collide? Let’s break down this exciting matchup, highlight the key mismatch, and look at the point total to watch.
Team Vibes and Season So Far
Washington hasn’t had the smoothest year. Injuries slowed them down early. Chemistry took time. They’ve shown glimpses of hope but can’t seem to string together big wins. Sitting near the bottom of the standings, the Mystics are in rebuild or retool mode.
Seattle, on the other hand, is rising. With key additions like Skylar Diggins-Smith and the dominant Breanna Stewart no longer in town, Jewell Loyd is now the clear star. They’ve mixed young talent with veteran leadership. Their record is better, and their style is more electric.
So, what should we expect when these two square off?
Key Mismatch: Frontcourt Firepower
This is where the game could be won or lost. Seattle’s frontcourt has been underrated. Ezi Magbegor is having a breakout year. She’s blocking shots, controlling the boards, and scoring inside with finesse.
Washington? They struggle defending bigs. Shakira Austin is young and a strong defender—but she’s alone out there. The depth just isn’t there. This gives Seattle a major edge when it comes to points in the paint and second-chance buckets.
Why is this so important?
- Seattle scores over 32% of points in the paint.
- Washington allows one of the highest shooting percentages near the rim.
- Ezi can go for a double-double easily in this one.
Unless Washington makes major adjustments, this area is trouble.
The Backcourt Battle
Let’s not forget about the guards. This game will also be a showdown at the perimeter. Washington features Natasha Cloud and Ariel Atkins — both known for their defense and hustle. Atkins can light it up from deep if she gets hot.
But Seattle’s got the X-factor: Jewell Loyd. She’s been on a tear. She can score from anywhere — stepbacks, drives, threes, you name it.
If Washington can’t contain her, Seattle pulls away easily.
Will defense win the day?
- Washington’s guards can pressure full court.
- Seattle’s offense runs through Loyd — stop her and you slow the Storm.
- Catch: it’s very, very hard to stop Loyd.
Totals: High or Low Scoring Affair?
Now, let’s talk point totals. Oddsmakers will likely set the over-under around 159-162 points. At first glance, this feels like a lower-scoring game. But there’s possible value in the Over.
Why? Let’s explain.
- Seattle pushes the pace more at home.
- Washington’s defense is inconsistent.
- The last time they met, the total hit 164 with ease.
It may come down to how hot the shooters are. If Loyd gets rolling, the whole game opens up. Seattle also shoots well from outside, and they’re facing a team with a weak perimeter close-out.
Also worth noting:
- Seattle averages nearly 79 points per game at home.
- Washington gives up about 84 points on the road.
- Combined, that’s enough for a lean on the Over.
Who Wins the Game?
Our prediction? Seattle gets it done.
They’ve got momentum, a clear size advantage, and the best player on the floor. Unless Washington gets unexpected heroics from the bench or shuts down inside play, it’s Seattle’s game to lose.
Final Score Prediction:
Seattle Storm 85 – Washington Mystics 74
What to Watch
This game could still surprise us.
- How does Washington defend Ezi Magbegor?
- Can Loyd be held under 20 points?
- Who hits the first three — a possible sign of who controls tempo.
Fun Prop Bets To Track
Want to make watching more exciting? Here are a few prop bets that could spice up your viewing:
- Jewell Loyd Over 21.5 Points – She loves playing against Washington.
- Ezi Magbegor Double-Double – This one might cash in the third quarter.
- Ariel Atkins Over 2.5 Threes – High variance, but the volume will be there.
Remember, bet responsibly, and don’t chase the losses — just cheer for some buckets!
The Final Word
This WNBA clash might not be a Finals preview, but it has real excitement potential. Seattle wants to stay in the playoff chase. Washington wants to prove they still matter in games like this.
We expect size, speed, and shooting to be the difference. And we’ll be watching for how the Mystics respond when their backs are against the wall.
Mark your calendars and grab your snacks. This could be a fun one!
Score more. Defend harder. Let the Storm roll in.